Ebook Long-term Energy Demand in the German Residential Sector Development of an Integrated Modelling Concept to Capture Technological Myopia

[Download.3gbj] Long-term Energy Demand in the German Residential Sector Development of an Integrated Modelling Concept to Capture Technological Myopia

[Download.3gbj] Long-term Energy Demand in the German Residential Sector Development of an Integrated Modelling Concept to Capture Technological Myopia

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Book Details :
Published on: 2016-04-01
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Original language: English

This thesis deals with the topic of how technological knowledge declines over time, and the resulting limitation of techno-economic energy demand models to anticipate the future demand for energy in the context of long-term scenarios. Since this is a principle limitation of ex ante analyses, this deficiency has been discussed for some time, but so far no methodological solution has been developed. This thesis is the first to develop a concept that draws on a broad methodological basis from different scientific disciplines (energy modelling and innovation economics) to address this limitation. Applying the developed concept to a practical question - energy scenarios for the German household sector until 2050 - shows that integrating the decline of technological knowledge leads to interesting new insights. 2013 International Energy Workshop - World Energy Outlook German Energy Concept versus Grid Development Plan ... Modelling the power sector and electricity prices in ... Long-term transport energy demand and climate ... Long-term energy demand modelling Analyzing the impact ... Long-term energy demand modelling ... this study the concept will be applied to the German residential sector in terms ... Heterogeneity in technological myopia by ... Rainer Elsland Fraunhofer ISI ... in the German Residential Sector Development of an Integrated Modelling Concept to Capture Technological Myopia ... Long-term energy demand modelling ... The FORECAST model has been extended by an approach to ... ... analysis for the German residential sector under the ... to capture technological myopia. ... Long-term energy demand in the German residential ... Projections of Energy Services Demand for Residential ... Abstract. Projections of energy demand are important for energy security supply and low carbon futures and usually rely on final energy consumption trends methods ... On the economic potential for electric load management in ... ... this paper investigates the economic potential for ... the rate of technological development of ... UK residential energy sector under long-term ... Julia Seixas LinkedIn View Julia Seixas professional ... medium and long term measures for a sustainable energy ... Projections of Energy Services Demand for Residential ... Introducing Innovation Phase Transition: International ... Thus this paper suggests a new research area by utilizing our proposed concept about an Innovation Outcome Trigger Value (IOTV). Furthermore ... Medium and long-term energy demand forecasting ... Medium and long-term energy demand forecasting: Presentation of end ... Approach for medium and long term energy demand ... Final Energy End-use Residential sector ... Publications FORECAST/eLOAD ... the German residential sector Development of an integrated modeling concept to capturetechnological myopia. ... in long-term energy demand modelling ...
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